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Researchers Devise More Accurate Method for Predicting Hurricane Activity

Researchers from North Carolina State University have developed a new method for forecasting seasonal hurricane activity that is 15 percent more accurate than previous techniques.

“This approach should give policymakers more reliable information than current state-of-the-art methods,” says Dr. Nagiza Samatova, an associate professor of computer science at NC State and co-author of a paper describing the work. “This will hopefully give them more confidence in planning for the hurricane season.” (more…)

ARkStorm: California’s other “Big One”

By Guest PostJanuary 17, 20111 commentEnvironmentarkstorm scenario, arkstorm summit, cal ema, climate change, economic systems of california, emergency planning purposes, fema, flood modeling, flooding, forecasting, geologic flood history in california, hypothetical california scenario, lucy jones, marcia mcnutt, mike dayton, nancy ward, sacramento, san andreas earthquakes, scenario, sea level rise scenarios, storm, united states

SACRAMENTO, Calif. — For emergency planning purposes, scientists unveiled a hypothetical California scenario that describes a storm that could produce up to 10 feet of rain, cause extensive flooding (in many cases overwhelming the state’s flood-protection system) and result in more than $300 billion in damage.

The “ARkStorm Scenario,” prepared by the U.S. Geological Survey and released at the ARkStorm Summit in Sacramento on Jan. 13 – 14, combines prehistoric geologic flood history in California with modern flood mapping and climate-change projections to produce a hypothetical, but plausible, scenario aimed at preparing the emergency response community for this type of hazard. (more…)

Tag Archives: forecasting

Researchers Devise More Accurate Method for Predicting Hurricane Activity

ARkStorm: California’s other “Big One”