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In last great age of warmth, CO2 at work — but hardly alone

By Guest PostApril 4, 2013Environmentactual temperature patterns, aerosol composition, alexey fedorov, central america, chris brierley, climate, climate change, climate forcing, cloud feedbacks, CO2, coast of peru, dynamic factors, earth, el nino conditions, global warmth, high latitudes, indonesia, kira lawrence, last great age, meaningful predictions, modern temperature patterns, ocean mixing, past, petra dekens, pliocene climate, pliocene warming, simulation, subtropical waters, tectonic changes, tropics, typical climate model, university college london, warming pattern, warmth, yale university, zhonghui liu

Warming patterns during Earth’s last period of prolonged global warmth differed dramatically from modern temperature patterns, according to new research by a Yale University scientist and colleagues. Cloud feedbacks, ocean mixing, or other dynamic factors must have played a greater role in Pliocene warming than commonly recognized, the scientists argue, and these must be accounted for in order to make meaningful predictions about Earth’s future climate.

In a paper published April 4 in the journal Nature, Yale climate scientist Alexey Fedorov and colleagues compile records of sea surface temperatures going back five million years, to the early Pliocene. These records reveal a world with fairly uniform warm temperatures in the whole of the Tropics prior to 4 million years ago — a significant scenario that typical climate model simulations fail to show. (more…)

Confidence in Climate Data: Using 3 Million-Year-Old Records

By Guest PostMarch 20, 2012Uncategorized21st century, ar5, atmospheric co2, China, climate, climate conditions, fossils, france, geologic period, Germany, global warmth, ipcc, Japan, marci robinson, marcia mcnutt, million years, north atlantic climate, north atlantic data, norway, pliocene, pliocene conditions, pliocene temperature, pliomip, test models, trace gases, united kingdom, united states, university of bristol, university of leeds

How do we understand what’s happening today by looking back millions of years?

Scientists are looking at what climate conditions were like 3.3 to 3 million years ago, during a geologic period known as the Pliocene, and they are confident in the accuracy of their data.

The Pliocene is the most recent period of sustained global warmth similar to what is projected for the 21^st century. Climate during this time period offers one of the closest analogs to estimate future climate conditions. (more…)

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In last great age of warmth, CO2 at work — but hardly alone

Confidence in Climate Data: Using 3 Million-Year-Old Records