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Can Scientists Look at Next Year’s Climate?

By Guest PostSeptember 11, 2011Environmentalgorithm, atmospheric scientists, climate dynamics, climate models, climate pattern, climate predictions, climate scientists, dmitri kondrashov, el niño, human induced climate change, hurricane, international congress on industrial and applied mathematics, los angeles, mathematical theory of climate sensitivity, michael chekroun, michael ghil, natural catastrophe, natural climate variability, vancouver, warming of equatorial surface waters, weather forecasts

Is it possible to make valid climate predictions that go beyond weeks, months, even a year? UCLA atmospheric scientists report they have now made long-term climate forecasts that are among the best ever — predicting climate up to 16 months in advance, nearly twice the length of time previously achieved by climate scientists.

Forecasts of climate are much more general than short-term weather forecasts; they do not predict precise temperatures in specific cities, but they still may have major implications for agriculture, industry and the economy, said Michael Ghil, a distinguished professor of climate dynamics in the UCLA Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and senior author of the research. (more…)

Climate Change From Black Carbon Depends on Altitude

Palo Alto, CA — Scientists have known for decades that black carbon aerosols add to global warming. These airborne particles made of sooty carbon are believed to be among the largest man-made contributors to global warming because they absorb solar radiation and heat the atmosphere. New research from Carnegie’s Long Cao and Ken Caldeira, along with colleagues George Ban-Weiss and Govindasamy Bala, quantifies how black carbon’s impact on climate depends on its altitude in the atmosphere. Their work, published online by the journal Climate Dynamics, could have important implications for combating global climate change. (more…)

Tag Archives: climate dynamics

Can Scientists Look at Next Year’s Climate?

Climate Change From Black Carbon Depends on Altitude